Plays (all 2* base plays)
Balt -6'
Miami +5'
T.Bay -1'
Denver +3
Jax +3
Cincy at Baltimore
Have to give the Ravens look as they will be in a foul mood after embarassment at New England. TE Heap expected to return to today but RB Lewis is a no-go. This is usually Baltimore's time of year as they are 20-8$ in all December games, including 13-4$ at home. They are also 11-1$ in the second Bengals clash of the season. They are also 9-0$ their last 9 home games off a loss. Cincy improving, but teams off a win in which they gave up 460 yards and 48 points are fade material in my opinion. Especially ones that have only covered t3 out of the last 15 vs. today's opponent. Off a loss against a division foe in a game they absolutely have to have, we'll take Billick, Lewis, Reed and company.
Atlanta at Tampa Bay
Tampa 17-3-2$ as a home dog or favorite <4 points, and the Bucs are 21-5$ off a SU fav loss. Gruden a very impressive 15-3$ off a SU fav loss at Tampa and Oakland, the sign of a good coach. Tampa's defense 50ypg better, and despite their record this is a proud team with no quit in them. Atlanta's advantage in the rushing game is the only thing that keeps us from really sending it here.
Pittsburgh at Jacksonville
Rothelisberger the real deal but lately he's been coming back down to earth, as Pittsburgh has won ugly the last couple of weeks. Jacksonville went toe- to-toe with Minny at on the road last week, as they have with pretty much everyone this year despite a tough schedule. The Jags front 7 are one of the few that can stand the physical Pittsburgh O-line. We think Jacksonville is one of the top 10 teams in the league, and have covered 7 out the last 8 at this site in this series.
Denver at San Diego
These two teams are very similar statistically, with a slight edge to the Broncos. Denver a little banged up on the defensive front, and that could come into play against physical Chargers. However, value points to the Broncos as they have been favored the last 18 in this series winning 14 of those games SU! Today they show up as an underdog and they are 9-3$ in that role vs. the decision. We think when push comes to shove, they are still a little bit better than the Bolts. Lean to the points.
Buffalo at Miami- Miami just doesn't stop playing hard, and we'll lean their way as there may be some line value here. Buffalo laid 5' earlier in the year to Miami at Buffalo, and although they are improving, this is a very steep line. Home dogs off away wins always catch our eye, especially ones with 286ypg defenses. Under may be worth a look as well.
Balt -6'
Miami +5'
T.Bay -1'
Denver +3
Jax +3
Cincy at Baltimore
Have to give the Ravens look as they will be in a foul mood after embarassment at New England. TE Heap expected to return to today but RB Lewis is a no-go. This is usually Baltimore's time of year as they are 20-8$ in all December games, including 13-4$ at home. They are also 11-1$ in the second Bengals clash of the season. They are also 9-0$ their last 9 home games off a loss. Cincy improving, but teams off a win in which they gave up 460 yards and 48 points are fade material in my opinion. Especially ones that have only covered t3 out of the last 15 vs. today's opponent. Off a loss against a division foe in a game they absolutely have to have, we'll take Billick, Lewis, Reed and company.
Atlanta at Tampa Bay
Tampa 17-3-2$ as a home dog or favorite <4 points, and the Bucs are 21-5$ off a SU fav loss. Gruden a very impressive 15-3$ off a SU fav loss at Tampa and Oakland, the sign of a good coach. Tampa's defense 50ypg better, and despite their record this is a proud team with no quit in them. Atlanta's advantage in the rushing game is the only thing that keeps us from really sending it here.
Pittsburgh at Jacksonville
Rothelisberger the real deal but lately he's been coming back down to earth, as Pittsburgh has won ugly the last couple of weeks. Jacksonville went toe- to-toe with Minny at on the road last week, as they have with pretty much everyone this year despite a tough schedule. The Jags front 7 are one of the few that can stand the physical Pittsburgh O-line. We think Jacksonville is one of the top 10 teams in the league, and have covered 7 out the last 8 at this site in this series.
Denver at San Diego
These two teams are very similar statistically, with a slight edge to the Broncos. Denver a little banged up on the defensive front, and that could come into play against physical Chargers. However, value points to the Broncos as they have been favored the last 18 in this series winning 14 of those games SU! Today they show up as an underdog and they are 9-3$ in that role vs. the decision. We think when push comes to shove, they are still a little bit better than the Bolts. Lean to the points.
Buffalo at Miami- Miami just doesn't stop playing hard, and we'll lean their way as there may be some line value here. Buffalo laid 5' earlier in the year to Miami at Buffalo, and although they are improving, this is a very steep line. Home dogs off away wins always catch our eye, especially ones with 286ypg defenses. Under may be worth a look as well.
